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Development of Machine Learning Models for Predicting Daylight Glare Probability L&E, Vol. 29, No. 5 (2), 2021

Light & Engineering 29 (5)

Volume 29
Date of publication 10/27/2021
Pages 33–41

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Development of Machine Learning Models for Predicting Daylight Glare Probability L&E, Vol. 29, No. 5 (2), 2021
Articles authors:
Jian Yao

Jian Yao, Ph.D. and Associate Professor at the department of architecture of Ningbo University. Dr. Yao has many years of experience in studying solar shading performance, daylighting and occupant behaviour

Abstract:
This paper aims to develop DGP predictive methods. Linear regression and machine learning based approaches were used to compare the performance of newly developed models and these models were compared with existing equations. The results show that developed models are more correct in predicting DGP than the existing equation. In addition, the second new finding by this research is that the combination of the azimuth (Az) and altitude (Aa) angle of the sun and time of day (T) along with vertical eye illuminance (Ev) supply a little better performance than Ev alone due to the consideration of the interaction effect between these factors. Therefore, the developed models can be used if linear model is preferred for simplification of computation. For a higher predictive performance, random forest models based on Ev, Az, Aa, and T is recommended due to its capability of dealing with nonlinear effects. The last contribution of this paper is that a classification model was developed for predicting DGP>0.4 by random forest algorithm considering Ev, Az, Aa, and T with adequate accuracy (90 %), which extends the ability of existing methods to the condition when the sun is in the field of view.
References:
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